Primetime Newsletter

Hey betting fam! Let’s analyze the Friday Night Football game

Betting Notes

FNF Notes: Chargers vs Chiefs

We posted this to our VIP’s earlier this week. We will share this graphic for EVERY primetime game all season!

• Top left is the current odds at the time of writing the newsletter using Novig

• Top right is the Defense vs Position (DvP) stats from 2024

• Bottom left is the list of parlay pieces (some members parlayed the list and/or used them in other bets)

• Bottom right is the write-up for the game that highlights news/notes as well as what the public/sharp betting money looks like thus far

NFL Betting Projections

Thursday Night Football 10,000-sim model projections went 3-0 ✅

✅✅✅This was a +525 parlay and many members cashed it after DFSnDonuts posted it in the models channel to highlight an example of how to use the model for primetime games!

For the player projections (six different prop markets are projected), sign up!

NFL Betting Projections

Friday Night Football 10,000-sim model projections

• Chargers covering the spread was our top spread pick of the week after simulating each game 10,000 times

• LAC moneyline, however, was fairly low on the ranking (DAL +7.5 was 10th last night and cashed FWIW)

• KC/LAC total u45.5 is also pretty low in the rankings

• On TNF, we could parlay PHI ML/DAL +7.5/U 47.5 for a +525 and it cashed. FNF, we can parlay the under 45.5 total with either the LAC ML +140 or LAC +3 at -110 for a +220 parlay

• Alternatively, the “betting notes” posted at the top of this email have 5 parlay pieces for tonight’s game. Those could be used in conjunction with the game model if you’re bored :)

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