Top NBA Player Trends: Sunday, December 22, 2024

Bennedict Mathurin Over 1.5 Turnovers

Bennedict Mathurin looks like a strong pick to go over 1.5 turnovers, especially since he’s averaging 3.0 turnovers in his last 10 road games, hitting this line at a perfect 100% clip. His struggles are even more pronounced against the Kings—he has coughed it up 3.3 times per contest in his last four matchups (again a 100% hit rate), including five turnovers in their most recent meeting. With Sacramento ranking 7th in Pace and Indiana at 9th over the last seven games, there should be plenty of possessions and ample opportunity for Mathurin to lose the ball.

Christian Braun Over 0.5 Steals

Christian Braun’s recent form on defense makes his steals prop intriguing. He’s on a seven-game streak of recording at least one steal, averaging 1.4 swipes over his last 20. The Pelicans, who he’s facing again, happen to be one of the most generous teams in terms of steals allowed, giving up 10.6 per game over their last 10 contests. In a previous meeting about a month ago, Braun notched an impressive five steals against them, reinforcing why this line looks appealing..

Jamal Murray Over 5.5 Assists

Jamal Murray has been dishing dimes at a high rate lately, posting 7.0 assists per game over his last 10 outings while logging 35.8 minutes on the floor. He’s hitting this over at a 90% rate in road contests where he plays 30+ minutes. On top of that, he’s maintained a 100% hit rate in his last five showdowns with the Pelicans, averaging 7.4 APG against them. New Orleans, which ranks 4th in assists allowed both over the last 15 games and for the entire season, doesn’t seem poised to slow him down.

Michael Porter Jr Over 8.5 Rebounds+Assists

Michael Porter Jr has been on a tear when it comes to racking up rebounds and assists. He’s currently on a seven-game streak, averaging 9.7 RA per contest in that span, and over his last 20 games, he’s putting up 9.9 RA with an 85% hit rate. He also has a flawless 100% record against the Pelicans in his last four meetings, averaging 10.7 RA in those contests.

T.J. McConnell Over 0.5 Steals

T.J. McConnell has been a model of consistency on defense, averaging 1.3 steals per game this season at an 89% hit rate. In fact, he’s only missed this line twice all year. Over his last 20 contests, he’s been even better, bumping his steals average to 1.5 for a 90% success rate.

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